1495. Predicting Weight Control Program Success


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S J Hutchinson: 1495. Predicting Weight Control Program Success. 1982.



The principal task of the Weight Organization is to know the weight status of the project at all times and also be able to assess the likelihood of achieving the weight requirement specified in the contract. The initial predictive model presented in this paper will provide a quantitative measure of probable weight control program success. The weight prediction of the initial aircraft is based on the current weight estimate, identified weight hazards, potential weight reduction, future weight hazards due to problems not yet identified and the variance for each weight input. Each of these factors is incorporated into a predictive model that provides a probability distribution of the first weight.


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